Perdita Logs

Well, here's what will more than likely be my last spring orders for perdita.

F BAL - GOB
A Mos - Biel
A Vol - Khar
A Crp - Kiev

*sigh* stupid mistakes lead to poor circumstances. As I said to Drew...I'm too trusting by half to play diplomacy.

Hopefully I'll last out the Spaniard and the Pom. Doubt it though.

Suzi sugested that I am still in a position to make a difference...i.e. who gets my SCs when I fall. I figured that Drew should and Piers should rot in hell. :)

The best ally for the F/G alliance is now Egypt, working to weaken Italy. If Italy falls to France, and Poland/North Russia fall to Germany, then Ukraine and Egypt will find it extremely hard to make gains against this alliance...

If the trends continue then I suggest that an endgame consisting of France, germany and one other power, probably Ukraine, is highly likely.

The Franco german alliance is highly profitable for both, and provided that they work to maintain parity between themselves, and to define their spheres of interest, I don't see that it would break down soon. They have managed the alliance very successfully to date. I would anticipate that they have arranged DMZ's between them (Pic and Alsace?) and defined parameters for provinces such as Switzerland.

I expect to see France launching a full naval attack on Italy very soon, with Germany pounding England until she surrenders, then working against Poland. In the meantime Germany will move against North Russia.

I expect that Egypt will try and make gains against Italy - and that Italy, once very powerful, will suffer greatly.

I also expect that Ukraine will shortly make overtures for an alliance to stop the western advance, but that he will attempt to consolidate power in the east first - i.e. Russia is liable to be a wild card due to it's vulnerability, and so Piers will attempt to remove Russia from the equation.

In addition, I estimate that Ukraine will go all out to preserve poland - otherwise the eastern powers will have no capacity at all to build fleets in the northern seas. This would be disasterous...

Spring 2001 Results.

Britain (Jim Hill) F Lon-NTH (*bounce*) F Edi s F Lon-NTH A Yor-Lpl	Egypt (Suzi Holyoake) A ESA - Lib F EME - ION F LBN s F EME - ION F AEG - Gre F Izm - AEG A Ada hold A Ale hold A Ist S UKRAINE A Ank - Bul F Isr - EME
France (Mike Smith) A Por s A Mad - Sve (*cut*, *dislodged*) A Mad - Sve F Gib s A Mad - Sve F And - SOG F WMe - Tun (*bounce*) F Gol - Lig (*bounce*, *dislodged*) A Mon s A Mar - Pie A Mar - Pie A Lyo - Mar A Swi s A Mil H A Mil H	Germany (Hippie) F Cly - NAO F Ire - IRI F Nwy s F NTH F NTH hold A Swe - Fin F SKA - Swe F Ham - BHM A Mun s A Aus hold A Sax s A Aus hold A Ber s A Sax hold A Aus hold
Italy (John Fouhy) F TYS-GOL F MAL-TUN (*bounce*) F LIG s F TYS-GOL F NAP-TYS F Rom s F NAP-TYS A Tus-Mil (*bounce*) A Ven-Aus (*bounce*) A Cro s A Ven-Aus A Hun s A Ven-Aus A Rum s A Hun (*cut*) F Bul-Gre (*void*, *dislodged*, *disbanded NRP*)	Poland (Drew Buddie) A Lit - Lat F Gda h A Cze h A Kra s A Pod A Pod h
Russia (Ross A Chapman) F BAL - GOB A Mos - Biel (*bounce*) A Vol - Khar (*bounce*) A Crp - Kiev (*bounce*)	Spain (Jason Gool) A Sve-Por F SAO s A Sve-Por
Turkey (David Ashton) R.I.P. 1998	Ukraine (Piers Forrest) A Ank-WBS-Bul F WBS C A Ank-Bul A Ode-Rum (*bounce*) F Geo-Ros A Don-Vol (*bounce*) A Kie-CRP (*bounce*) A Kha S A Kie-CRP (*cut*) A Bie-Mos (*bounce*)

The French unit in the Gulf of Lyon retreats to Bar.

Well, THAT was interesting... just why IS Mikey taking so long to finish off the Spaniard? The ideal order combination would have been as above but with F Gib - SAO. This would have either cut support from SAO, or if SAO were used in an attacking capacity then Sve would have been forced to disband.

As it is, Spain is hanging in by the skin of her teeth, and Mikey is STILL having to commit forces in this area - when he really needs to start moving east.

What should Mike do now?

Portugal is the priority - once that falls then Morocco will fall at will.

Unfortunately I cannot see a way of attacking Portugal in an unbeatable way.

They key thing now is to separate Spain's forces. I'd consider the benefits of the following:

A Sve S A Mad H
A Mad S A Sve H
F Gib-SAO
F SOG S F Gib-SAO

This won't make any gains, but it will either leave Morocco vulnerable to a single unit, or it will seperate the units making each vulnerable to a single support.

There are other reasonable things to do, but they all involve some element of risk as far as I can see - especially is Seville is to remain occupied. This is slightly slower - but the Spaniard should be dead by the end of 2002. Whether Mikey does this or not is a different matter entirely, the Spaniard should have been dismissed a couple of years ago!

I'll put it on record now that I quite want Mikey to win. Why? Well, nobody has yet wone with France in Modern...

Unfortunately Mikey keeps making errors!

What about Germany? Well, Liverpool is about to die, horribly - it'll take a little longer to finish off the brit - let's have a look at how it may go.

The first thing will be an attack upon LvP. F NAO S F Iri-LvP, F Iri-LvP is as good a combo as any. F Nth-Edi (or Lon) would also be a good plan - just in case... (Nwy will support Nth to hold - not ideal as Murmansk becomes vulnerable later on. It's a matter of priorities).

Let us now assume that Iri or NAO is still in place, LvP is occupied by the German, as is Nth. Britain occupies Edi and Lon.

The german then has to put two of his units adjacent to a British home SC - this can be done fairly trivially. One possibility is F NAO-NWG with support from Nth... LvP would be moved to Wal. At most one of these could bounce. Similarly we could see F Iri-ENG with support from Nth , LvP moving to Clyde.

Thus at the end of Spring 2002 the Brit should have two SCs, one of which will easily fall to the German, the other will fall by the end of 2003. I cannot see any way for the Brit of preventing this.

As for the rest of the map? Well I have my ideas, but in the end it comes down to an east/west struggle between Ukraine/Egypt and France/Germany.

The eliminations from this point are likely to be as follows:

• Spain, if Mike can get his act together, by end of 2002.
• Britain, by the end of 2003

  At this point it becomes more tricky... so in no particular order

• Poland
• Russia
• Italy

Russia will be down to three SCs soon, though Ross will take a long time to fall due to the defensive position it seems inevitable with enemy forces on two fronts.

Similarly, Poland looks very vulnerable to me, and could very easily lose ground... Of the three I think it'd be a close run thing as to who goes out first - though I wouldn't be surprised if one of them survives if the attention of their enemies is shifted elsewhere.

Autumn 2001 Results.
Britain (Jim Hill) F Lon-ENG F Edi HOLD A Lpl HOLD (*dislodged*)	Egypt (Suzi Holyoake) A Ale - Gre F EME c A Ale - Gre F AEG c A Ale - Gre A Ada hold F LBN - MAL F ION s F LBN - MAL F Gre - Alb A Lib hold A Ist s UKRAINE A Bul
France (Mike Smith) A Mad - Por A Sve s A Mad - Por F Gib - SAO (*bounce*) F WME S F Bar - Gol F SoG - Mor (*bounce*) F Bar - Gol (*bounce*) A Mar S A Pie H A Pie S A Mar H A Mon S A Mar H A Swi s A Mil H A Mil H	Germany (Hippie) A Fin - Mur F Swe - GOB (*bounce*) F BHM c A Ber - Swe A Ber - Swe (*bounce*) F Nwy s F NTH F NTH hold A Mun s A Aus A Sax s A Aus A Aus hold F IRI - Lvp F NAO s F IRI - Lvp
Italy (John Fouhy) A Ven-Aus (*bounce*) A Cro s A Ven-Aus A Hun s A Ven-Aus A Rum-Ser F Rom-Nap A Tus-Auv F LIG convoy A Tus-Auv F GOL convoy A Tus-Auv F TYS s F GOL h F MAL-TUN	Poland (Drew Buddie) A Lat - StP (*bounce*) A Kra s A Pod - Bie A CZE h F Gda - BAL A Pod - Bie
Russia (Ross A Chapman) A Mos S (pol) A Pod - Biel A CRP - Kiev (*bounce*, *dislodged*, *disbanded NRP*) A Vol - Cauc F GOB - StP (*bounce*)	Spain (Jason Gool) A Por h (*dislodged*) F SAO-Mor (*bounce*)
Turkey (David Ashton) R.I.P. 1998	Ukraine (Piers Forrest) A Ode-Rum A Bul S A Ode-Rum F WBS S A Ode-Rum A Don-Vol F Ros S A Don-Vol This is a valid support, due to the canal. A Kha S A Bie-CRP A Kie S A Bie-CRP A Bie-CRP

The British army in Liverpool retreat to Yorkshire.

The Spanish unit in Portugal disbands.

The following table summarises the changing SC situation - this is not always the same as the number of adjusts you have!

The following table contains a game summary, broken down by power.

The NMR/Late score are for the current player.

Dropouts:
No players have yet dropped out of this game. Though Ydris has been eliminated.

The following table contains a game summary, broken down by SC. Sc's are grouped roughly according to geographical area.

            Start End
      SC       95 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
----Africa----------------------------------------------------------
         Libya  .  E  E  E  I  I  I  E
       Morocco  .  B  S  S  S  S  S  S
       Tunisia  .  I  I  I  I  I  I  I
---Britain----------------------------------------------------------
     Edinburgh  B  B  B  B  B  B  B  B
     Gibraltar  B  B  B  S  S  S  F  F
     Liverpool  B  B  B  B  B  B  B  G
        London  B  B  B  G  G  G  B  B
-Central Europe-----------------------------------------------------
       Austria  .  I  I  I  I  G  G  G
      Bulgaria  .  T  T  I  I  I  I  U
       Croatia  .  I  I  I  I  I  I  I
Czechoslovakia  .  P  P  P  P  P  P  P
        Greece  .  T  T  I  I  I  I  E
       Hungary  .  U  U  U  I  I  I  I
       Rumania  .  U  U  U  I  U  I  U
        Serbia  .  .  I  I  I  I  I  I
----Egypt-----------------------------------------------------------
    Alexandria  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E
         Aswan  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E
         Cairo  E  E  E  E  E  E  E  E
----France----------------------------------------------------------
      Bordeaux  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
          Lyon  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
    Marseilles  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
         Paris  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
---Germany----------------------------------------------------------
        Berlin  G  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
     Frankfurt  G  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
       Hamburg  G  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
        Munich  G  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
----Italy-----------------------------------------------------------
         Milan  I  I  I  I  I  I  F  F
        Naples  I  I  I  I  I  I  I  I
          Rome  I  I  I  I  I  I  I  I
        Venice  I  I  I  I  I  I  I  I
--Middle East-------------------------------------------------------
          Iran  .  T  T  T  E  E  E  E
        Israel  .  E  E  E  E  E  E  E
  Saudi Arabia  .  E  E  E  E  E  E  E
----Poland----------------------------------------------------------
        Gdansk  P  P  P  P  P  P  P  P
        Krakow  P  P  P  P  P  P  P  P
        Warsaw  P  P  P  P  P  P  P  P
----Russia----------------------------------------------------------
         Gorky  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R
        Moscow  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R
      Murmansk  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  G
        Rostov  R  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
St. Petersburg  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R
-SovSatellite-------------------------------------------------------
   Bielorussia  .  P  P  P  R  R  U  P
       Georgia  .  T  R  R  R  R  U  U
     Lithuania  .  P  P  P  P  R  P  P
--Scandinavia-------------------------------------------------------
       Denmark  .  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
        Norway  .  B  B  B  B  B  G  G
        Sweden  .  R  R  P  P  P  G  G
----Spain-----------------------------------------------------------
     Barcelona  S  S  S  F  F  F  F  F
        Madrid  S  S  S  S  F  F  F  F
       Seville  S  S  B  B  S  F  S  F
----Turkey----------------------------------------------------------
         Adana  T  T  T  T  E  E  E  E
        Ankara  T  T  T  U  U  U  U  U
      Istanbul  T  T  T  I  I  I  E  E
        Izmair  T  T  T  E  E  E  E  E
---Ukraine----------------------------------------------------------
          Kiev  U  U  U  P  U  U  U  U
       Kharkov  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
        Odessa  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
    Sevastipol  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
-West Europe--------------------------------------------------------
       Belgium  .  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
       Holland  .  G  G  G  G  G  G  G
       Ireland  .  B  B  B  B  B  G  G
        Monaco  .  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
      Portugal  .  S  S  B  B  F  F  F
   Switzerland  .  F  F  F  F  F  F  F

Britain disbands her Army in Yorkshire.

Egypt builds a fleet in Alexandria and and Army in Cairo

France builds an Army in Paris

Germany builds Armies in Hamburg and Frankfurt.

Italy winces and disbands the Fleets in the Tyrrhenian and Tunisia, also the army in Serbia.

Poland builds an Army in Warsaw.

Ukraine builds an Army in Odessa.

This was the phase where I added the gif of Perdita to the perdita map. Piers commented on this saying:

...is that meant to be a fat lady singing, up there in Russia?

You cruel person!